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Best Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Bets & Public Betting Intel (Jan. 26)
GYZR
January 24, 2025
🚨I will continue to update this post and the Commanders-Eagles post through Sunday morning….then I am headed to the NFC Championship game.
Make sure you are following GYZR Markets on X as well for updates.
📈 Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Bet Streaks:
X. Worthy: Over 4.5 Receptions (-140) ✅ Hit in 6/6 games
K. Hunt: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+140) ✅ Hit in 3/3 games
T. Kelce:
Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-114) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
Over 6.5 Receptions (-125) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+130) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
K. Shakir:
Over 5.5 Receptions (+126) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-114) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
Over 53.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-115) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
J. Cook:
Over 55.5 Rush Yards (-114) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
Over 13.5 Rush Attempts (-108) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
Over 72.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-113) ✅ Hit in 2/2 games
🔥Top Bills vs. Chiefs Props ALT Lines
Buffalo Bills
Dawson Knox:
1+ Receptions (13/13 games)
Khalil Shakir:
25+ Receiving Yards (3/3 games)
4+ Receptions (13/16 games)
5+ Receptions (2/2 games)
James Cook:
60+ Rush+Rec Yards (2/2 games)
Anytime TD (11/14 games)
Josh Allen:
1+ Passing TD (15/19 games)
Kansas City Chiefs
Xavier Worthy:
40+ Receiving Yards (8/8 games)
4+ Receptions (8/9 games)
Travis Kelce:
50+ Receiving Yards (2/2 games)
5+ Receptions (3/3 games)
1+ Anytime TD (2/2 games)
DeAndre Hopkins:
2+ Receptions (13/15 games)
🏆TD Props Data and Trends
Chiefs-Bills TD Props Intel at BetMGM
Most Bet Anytime TD Props
1. Josh Allen +100
2. Travis Kelce +130
3. Xavier Worthy +200
4. James Cook +140
5. Kareem Hunt +160
Most Bet 1st TD Props
1. Josh Allen +650
2. James Cook +850
3. Travis Kelce +850
4. Kareem Hunt +1100
5. Xavier Worthy +1200
TD Prop Trends
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (Trend: 7/L9, Odds: -110)
James Cook: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (Trend: 5/L6, Odds: +145)
Ray Davis: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (Trend: 2/L3, Odds: +700)
Kansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (Trend: 2/L2, Odds: +125)
Kareem Hunt: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (Trend: 3/L3, Odds: +180)
Xavier Worthy: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (Trend: 3/L4, Odds: +200)
🚨“Value Prop Trends” - High Hit Rates + Value Lines
Additional Bills @ Chiefs: 100% Alternate Lines
Receptions
Dawson Knox (Bills): 1+ Receptions (Hit Rate: 13/13 Games)
Dalton Kincaid (Bills): 3+ Receptions (Hit Rate: 14/19 Games)
Travis Kelce (Chiefs):
5+ Receptions (Hit Rate: 3/3 Games)
50+ Receiving Yards (Hit Rate: 2/2 Games)
Khalil Shakir (Bills):
5+ Receptions (Hit Rate: 2/2 Games)
25+ Receiving Yards (Hit Rate: 3/3 Games)
50+ Receiving Yards (Hit Rate: 2/2 Games)
Xavier Worthy (Chiefs):
4+ Receptions (Hit Rate: 8/8 Games)
40+ Receiving Yards (Hit Rate: 8/8 Games)
Mack Hollins (Chiefs): 1+ Receptions (Hit Rate: 11/11 Games)
Rushing Yards
James Cook (Bills):
25+ Rushing Yards (Hit Rate: 6/6 Games)
40+ Rushing Yards (Hit Rate: 5/6 Games)
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs): 25+ Rush+Rec Yards (Hit Rate: 18/20 Games)
Kareem Hunt (Chiefs): 25+ Rushing Yards (Hit Rate: 12/15 Games)
Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs): 250+ Pass+Rush Yards (Hit Rate: 2/3 Games)
Josh Allen (Bills): 200+ Passing Yards (Hit Rate: 9/13 Games)
Touchdowns
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs): 1+ Passing TD (Hit Rate: 11/11 Games)
📊Bills vs. Chiefs Public Betting Data
Per @HardRockBet, numbers on NFL Conference Championship Odds:
Commanders vs. Eagles
68% of spread bets on Washington
51% of moneyline bets on Washington
76% of bets on the OverBills vs. Chiefs
68% of spread bets on Bills
55% of moneyline bets on Bills
76% of bets on the Over… x.com/i/web/status/1…— Patrick Everson (@PatrickE_Vegas)
5:12 AM • Jan 26, 2025
PIKKIT:
ESPNBET, FANDUEL, BETRIVERS
72% of bets, 74% of 💵 on Bills +2 at ESPNBET
67% of 🎟️, 70% of 💵 on Bills +2 at BetRivers
59% of 🎟️, 62% of 💵 on Bills +2 at FDSportsbook
DRAFTKINGS
The opener for this one was never going to be a big line, and the -1.5 has slightly moved to -1.5 -115, though the early action for all Spread plays so far sees the Bills gaining approx. 61%
· The ML opener of -120 has moved to -130, but action overall sees a literal 50/50 split so far, which is no surprise, and likely won’t see either team take a big lead in the rate of plays by KO
· Game Total opener of 48.5 has come down to 47.5, but despite the line drop, the early action is liking the Overs at a rate of approx. 70%. The weather forecast shows it will likely be a cold one, but for BUF or KC, its conditions they are both well used to
💰Most bet (tickets) Chiefs-Bills player props at BetMGM
1. Curtis Samuel over 1.5 receptions made
2. James Cook over 54.5 rushing yards
3. Travis Kelce over 68.5 receiving yards
4. Noah Gray over 13.5 receiving yards
5. Dalton Kincaid over 31.5 receiving yards
💰Very Popular player props BetMGM
1. Curtis Samuel over 1.5 receptions
2. Noah Gray over 13.5 receiving yards
3. Dalton Kincaid over 31.5 receiving yards
4. Amari Cooper over 1.5 receptions
99% of bets are on the OVER for each
🔥MUST USE PROMOS
