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- Notre Dame vs. Ohio State Props: Unpacking Trends, Best Bets, and Public Action
Notre Dame vs. Ohio State Props: Unpacking Trends, Best Bets, and Public Action
Notre Dame vs. Ohio State Championship Prop Bets Analysis
We dive into the prop bets for the Notre Dame vs. Ohio State championship game. Here's a quick rundown of some of the key prop bets:
Riley Leonard is expected to throw over 0.5 passing touchdowns, with a strong historical performance of 100% over the last 5 games and 90% over the last 10.
Will Howard has a high chance of throwing over 0.5 interceptions, with an 80% success rate over both the last 5 and 10 games.
Jaden Greathouse is likely to have a reception longer than 14.5 yards, with an 80% and 40% success rate over the last 5 and 10 games respectively. However, he's also expected to have under 25.5 receiving yards with an 80% and 60% success rate.
Riley Leonard to attempt under 27.5 passes, with consistent performance at 80% over the last 5 games and 70% over the last 10.
Aneyas Williams is expected to have under 21.5 receiving yards, with an 80% rate over both time frames.
Emeka Egbuka: Over 4.5 receptions, with an 80% success rate over the last 5 games but drops to 50% over the last 10.
Jadarian Price is likely to rush for over 24.5 yards, with an impressive 80% success rate over both periods.
Jeremiyah Love and TreVeyon Henderson are both favored to score over 0.5 touchdowns, with Love at 80% over the last 5 and 90% over the last 10, and Henderson at 80% over both time frames.
๐National Title Game Public Betting Data
The line opened with Ohio State -9.5 and has fallen to -8.5.
Public action has been roughly 50/50 since the line opened.
Moneyline action on the Irish is the only metric that remotely shows a consensus with Notre Dame +285 seeing 59% of the handle on DraftKings.
๐Ohio State vs Notre Dame Betting Trends
Notre Dame has covered 11 straight spreads, six of which were listed as double-digit chalk.
Ohio State has won every CFB Playoff game by two touchdowns or more, covering three-straight spreads.
Ohio State is 9-6 ATS this season as a favorite.
๐ฐGYZR Markets Best Bets
๐ฅOhio State RB โ Quinshon Judkins Anytime TD (-130)
I'm betting on Quinshon Judkins to find the end zone in this matchup. He's already shown his knack for scoring, having notched four touchdowns in the CFB Playoffs, including two in the semifinals alone.
Notre Dame is dealing with some significant injuries on their defensive line. This is NOT Indiana! With Rylie Mills, their leading tackler for loss, out due to injury, the Irish's defense lacks the punch it needs upfront.
I see Ohio State having a clear advantage in the trenches here. I expect the Buckeyes to lean into a strategy of bully ball, with Judkins at the forefront. After all, this was exactly the approach Penn State took against Notre Dame in the semis, where they managed to rack up 204 rushing yards and score three touchdowns on the ground. Given these conditions, I'm confident that Judkins will capitalize on Notre Dame's vulnerabilities and find the endzone.
๐จMORE DATA & BEST BETS WILL BE POSTED AS WE APPROACH THE NATTY
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๐จMORE DATA & BEST BETS WILL BE POSTED AS WE APPROACH THE NATTY