Best Steelers vs. Browns Props 11/21 TNF

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Steelers @ Browns Props: 100% ALT Line Hit Rates

  1. Najee Harris (Steelers)
    • Prop: 50+ Rushing Yards
    • Trend: 5/5
  2. Jameis Winston (Browns)
    • Prop: 200+ Passing Yards
    • Trend: 3/3
  3. George Pickens (Steelers)
    • Prop: 40+ Receiving Yards
    • Trend: 5/5
  4. David Njoku (Browns)
    • Prop: 25+ Receiving Yards
    • Trend: 5/5
  5. Russell Wilson (Steelers)
    • Prop: 150+ Passing Yards
    • Trend: 8/8
  6. Cedric Tillman (Browns)
    • Prop: 25+ Receiving Yards
    • Trend: 4/4
  7. Calvin Austin (Steelers)
    • Prop: 1+ Receptions
    • Trend: 10/10
  8. Jameis Winston (Browns)
    • Prop: 1+ Passing Touchdown
    • Trend: 4/4
  9. Jaylen Warren (Steelers)
    • Prop: 2+ Receptions
    • Trend: 5/5
  10. Jerry Jeudy (Browns)
    • Prop: 40+ Receiving Yards
    • Trend: 3/3
 
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Steelers - Browns OVER Prop Trends for TD's, Pass Yards, Pass Att, Pass Completions:

  1. J. Winston vs PIT (Browns)
    • Over 0.5 Pass TD: -240
      • Hit in 4 of his last 4 games (100%)
    • Over 212.5 Pass Yds: -113
      • Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%)
    • Over 33.5 Pass Att: -108
      • Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%)
    • Over 18.5 Pass Compl: -120
      • Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%)
  2. R. Wilson @ CLE (Steelers)
    • Over 0.5 Int: -103
      • Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%)
    • Over 172.5 Pass Yds: -113
      • Hit in 8 of his last 8 games (100%)
    • Over 26.5 Pass Att: -108
      • Hit in 7 of his last 7 games (100%)
    • Over 16.5 Pass Compl: +100
      • Hit in 5 of his last 7 games (71%)
  3. C. Tillman vs PIT (Browns)
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD: +340
      • Hit in 2 of his last 3 games (67%)
 

100% ALT Line Prop Hit Rates​

Thursday Night Football (Steelers vs. Browns)

  1. D. Njoku (Browns): 4+ Receptions - 5/Last 5 Games
  2. J. Warren (Steelers): 2+ Receptions - 5/Last 5 Games
  3. E. Moore (Browns): 25+ Receiving Yards - 4/Last 4 Games
  4. G. Pickens (Steelers): 40+ Receiving Yards - 5/Last 5 Games
  5. C. Tillman (Browns): 25+ Receiving Yards - 4/Last 4 Games
  6. R. Wilson (Steelers): 175+ Passing Yards - 8/Last 8 Games
  7. J. Jeudy (Browns): 40+ Receiving Yards - 3/Last 3 Games
  8. N. Harris (Steelers): 50+ Rushing Yards - 5/Last 5 Games
  9. J. Winston (Browns): 200+ Passing Yards - 3/Last 3 Games
  10. P. Freiermuth (Steelers): 2+ Receptions - 17/Last 17 Games
 

Thursday Night Football Top Player Prop Trends​

Trends from the Last 5 Games

  1. Russell Wilson:
    • 183.5+ Passing Yards - Trend: 100%
    • 175+ Passing Yards - Trend: 100%
  2. Najee Harris:
    • 50+ Rushing Yards - Trend: 100%
  3. David Njoku:
    • 4.5+ Receptions - Trend: 100%
    • 4+ Receptions - Trend: 100%
    • 25+ Receiving Yards - Trend: 100%
  4. Jaylen Warren:
    • 2+ Receptions - Trend: 100%
  5. George Pickens:
    • 40+ Receiving Yards - Trend: 100%
    • 4+ Receptions - Trend: 80%
    • 57.5+ Receiving Yards - Trend: 80%
    • 70+ Receiving Yards - Trend: 80%
  6. Jerry Jeudy:
    • 25+ Receiving Yards - Trend: 80%




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Steelers vs. Browns Public Betting Data - DraftKings​

Moneyline

  • CLE Browns: Odds +164 | Handle: 9% | Bets: 9%
  • PIT Steelers: Odds -198 | Handle: 91% | Bets: 91%

Spread

  • PIT Steelers -3.5: Handle: 71% | Bets: 84%
  • CLE Browns +3.5: Handle: 29% | Bets: 16%

Total

  • Over 37: Handle: 35% | Bets: 59%
  • Under 37: Handle: 65% | Bets: 41%
 
WEATHER ALERT FOR TONIGHT:

Screenshot - 2024-11-21T093455.918.webp
 

NFL Most Bet TD Scorers & Player Props - TNF Week 12​


1st TD Scorer​

1️⃣ George Pickens: +950
2️⃣ Najee Harris: +450
3️⃣ Nick Chubb: +550
4️⃣ David Njoku: +1300
5️⃣ Pat Freiermuth: +1300

Anytime TD Scorer​

1️⃣ Najee Harris: +105
2️⃣ George Pickens: +200
3️⃣ Nick Chubb: +145
4️⃣ David Njoku: +300
5️⃣ Russell Wilson: +550

2+ TD Scorer​

1️⃣ George Pickens: +1800
2️⃣ Najee Harris: +600
3️⃣ Nick Chubb: +950
4️⃣ David Njoku: +3000
5️⃣ Jerry Jeudy: +3500

Player Not to Score a Touchdown​

1️⃣ Najee Harris: -150
2️⃣ Nick Chubb: -250
3️⃣ George Pickens: -390
4️⃣ Pat Freiermuth: -750
5️⃣ Mike Williams: -2000

Player Props​

1️⃣ George Pickens Receiving Yards - 50+: -195
2️⃣ Najee Harris Rushing Yards - 50+: -290
3️⃣ Najee Harris Rushing Yards - 60+: -170
4️⃣ George Pickens Receiving Yards - 40+: -350
5️⃣ Najee Harris Longest Rush O/U - Over 17.5: -155

Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
 
Most Bet TNF Touchdown Props at BetMGM

Anytime TD Scored Prop:

1. George Pickens +225
2. PIT Defense/Special Teams +700
3. Najee Harris +105
4. David Njoku +400
5. Nick Chubb +150

1st TD Scored Prop:

1. Najee Harris +400
2. George Pickens +750
3. Nick Chubb +600
4. PIT Defense/Special Teams +3000
5. Pat Freiermuth +1500
 
Most Bet Steelers-Browns All-Market Player Props at BetMGM

1. George Pickens over 58.5 receiving yards

2. Russell Wilson over 182.5 passing yards

3. Najee Harris over 17.5 rushing attempts

4. Jameis Winston over 216.5 passing yards

5. Najee Harris over 67.5 rushing yards
 
Screenshot - 2024-11-21T165338.254.webp
 
📈 Steelers @ Browns Game & Prop Line Movement

1. Steelers Spread

Opening: -4.5
Current: -3.5

2. PIT/CLE Game Total

Opening: 39.5
Current: 36.5

3. Jameis Winston Passing Yards O/U

Opening: 210.5
Current: 217.5

4. Russell Wilson Passing Yards O/U

Opening: 177.5
Current: 186.5

5. Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards O/U

Opening: 42.5
Current: 46.5

6. Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards O/U

Opening: 38.5
Current: 34.5

7. Najee Harris Rushing Yards O/U

Opening: 64.5
Current: 73.5

8. Najee Harris Anytime TD Scorer

Opening: +130
Current: +105

9. Nick Chubb Anytime TD Scorer

Opening: +170
Current: +145

10. Pat Freiermuth Anytime TD Scorer

Opening: +290
Current: +330

(Data from DraftKings Sportsbook)
 

Notable TNF Trends & Insights​

  1. PIT is tied for the best ATS record in the league (8-2)
  2. CLE is tied for the 4th worst ATS record in the league (3-7)
  3. PIT 4-0 ATS with Russ as the starter
  4. CLE 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games
  5. CLE is 6-2 ATS on TNF since 2018
  6. Chubb recorded 58+ rush yards in each of his last 10 games vs PIT
  7. Russ recorded 186+ pass yards in each of his last 8 games
  8. Harris scored a TD in 5 of PIT's last 6 road games vs AFC North teams
  9. Pickens recorded 74+ receiving yards in each of the last four games
  10. Pickens recorded 5+ receptions in 4 of PIT's last 5 games vs AFC teams
  11. Russ scored a TD in each of his last 2 games vs CLE
  12. Jameis recorded 235+ pass yards in each of CLE's last 3 games
 

NFL Most Bet Player Props - Week 12 - TNF​

Receiving Yards​

  1. George Pickens Receiving Yards - 50+: -200
  2. George Pickens Receiving Yards - 40+: -390
  3. David Njoku Receiving Yards - 25+: -360
  4. David Njoku Receiving Yards - 40+: -130
  5. George Pickens Receiving Yards - 60+: -125

Rushing Yards​

  1. Najee Harris Rushing Yards - 50+: -285
  2. Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - 40+: -250
  3. Najee Harris Rushing Yards - 60+: -225
  4. Najee Harris Rushing Yards - 40+: -800
  5. Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - 50+: -145

Passing Yards​

  1. Russell Wilson Passing Yards - 175+: -175
  2. Russell Wilson Passing Yards - 150+: -360
  3. Jameis Winston Passing Yards - 200+: -195
  4. Russell Wilson Passing Yards - 200+: +110
  5. Jameis Winston Passing Yards - 175+: -400
Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
 
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