LIVE Election Odds Update Thread

[GYZR]

For the remainder of Election Day, we will continuously post updates on Trump vs. Harris's odds to win in this thread.

Odds to win US Presidential Election at BetMGM (Ontario only)

Sunday
Donald Trump -125
Kamala Harris +110

Monday
Trump -145
Harris +120

Today 11/5/24
Trump -165
Harris +135

 

[GYZR]

As of 10:55 am EST, Polymarket has Trump listed at 62.9% odds to win.

 

[GYZR]

Kalshi has Trump listed at 58% odds to win over Harris:

 

[Riverwinz]

Early Florida numbers appear to be strong for Trump, but is VERY early.

 

[GYZR]

Robinhood Election betting currently lists Trump at 59% chance to win, but Kamala Harris has $10M more in betting handle received.

 

[GYZR]

Ok, in the past hour, Trump's odds to win have fallen on Polymarket to 60% and 57% on Kalshi.

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853834242918146410

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853845177397608667

 

[GYZR]

Approaching 2pm EST.....no major changes.

Robinhood has moved Trump down to 58.

Early numbers in Florida are strong for Trump.

Nevada numbers are tight....some counties appear a bit stronger for Trump.

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853870370883080239

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853869633440231671

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853878079862509977

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853877835892682834

 

[GYZR]

Approaching 3pm EST.....

- Trump is back above 62% on Polymarket.
- Kalshi has 58% Trump
- Robinhood has Trump bouncing between 59-60 cents.

 

[GYZR]

4:30 pm EST update

- Polymarket = 60% Trump

- Robinhood = 59% Trump

- Kalshi = 57% Trump

 

[Riverwinz]

If you want to bet on Trump, WAIT!!!

Harris will 100% win Michigan. The best odds you will see all night or this week for Trump will come when he loses Michigan.

 

[GYZR]

Oh, this is bad:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853902662993064018

 

[GYZR]

Trump just hit 62% again on Polymarket as we head past 5pm EST

 

[GYZR]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853914790990688709

 

[GYZR]

8pm EST update

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853961270245879946